Bet Less Games for More Money

SSI · Dec 22, 2005

does anyone adhere to this policy? i went to a structured system of betting on nov 29th, laid out in this manner

Mon-Fri: One game daily (best game) sides or totals only.
Sat: 1-3 games
Sun: 1-2 games

Total: 7-10 plays per week.. (all plays flat bet for 500)

(stress level and time spent) have been cut way down.. chasing is now out of the question.. difficult on a saturday and sunday with so many games but very easy through the week..

goal is to maintain winning % above 60% (dont laugh), we got to have goals..

Insiders · Dec 22, 2005

SSI

I agree somewhat to this system. I know a guy that does exactly that. But dureing cbb season that is very hard to stick with as i tried it a few years ago. I do believe that a player can get strung out to thin and have too many plays in action.
Juice will eat you alive if not wining at a very hig percentage rate when playing multi-games, i know this for a fact!

Moon88 · Dec 22, 2005

I actually play anywhere from 0-3 on a given day. I do press on rare occasions, but not often.

SureGuy · Dec 22, 2005

IMO this WILL change the way you cap games..... You will be missing out on winners.... by no means do I think playing s h i t load of games is the way to go ... BUT I know this doesn't work very well for most.....

Everyone is different though

Moon88 · Dec 22, 2005

Insiders said:
SSI

I agree somewhat to this system. I know a guy that does exactly that. But dureing cbb season that is very hard to stick with as i tried it a few years ago. I do believe that a player can get strung out to thin and have too many plays in action.
Juice will eat you alive if not wining at a very hig percentage rate when playing multi-games, i know this for a fact!

I only cap NFL, NBA and at times some MLB so I don't run into those big College schedules.......thank god.

heart222 · Dec 22, 2005

I think its terrific. Dont think you can look at 10 games in nba and say hey i like 5 of them much better 1. by theway notice hansenbros hes like 75% mabey 5 plays a week. dont have to bet everyday. somedays nothing looks good. the structure is good though. good luck heart222

SSI · Dec 22, 2005

well, i guess the "action" part of me wants a game everyday... i dont think this will be a flaw, it gives me a "Favorite Team" for the day.. and i can tell you that emotionally going 0-1 is not bad on you..

as far as missing winners, you can also say that you are missing losers as well... i remember back when i first started wagering in 1986 with a local. he would always try and nudge me into playing more games, he would say "is that all you want", come on play another one.... the books like the action guys..

17-10 (63%) start for me btw..

on navy/col st over 60.5 tonight..

Insiders · Dec 22, 2005

SSI

BOL to you with that over play tonight. I leaned that way but after looking at the Navy running game i deceided that they might take the air out the ball on long marches eating up the clock. So it turned into a NO play for me. Again BOL to you and Merry Christmas.
I do like your system, but it takes special kind of player to limit one self to that ONE play per day.

SureGuy · Dec 22, 2005

I still think it changes the way you capp.....

I swear I'm over 75% with wagers $50 and under.....lol

Insiders · Dec 22, 2005

LOL sureguy!!

I know that feeling very well. I used to be the same way.
Now if i make a bet, its for at least a unit. Win lose or draw, that way i dont tell myslef i should have bet MORE !!

oldmanTED · Dec 22, 2005

SSI:

Yes, I have followed this policy. Scan the card each day looking for any possible play. Many days, there are none. Most days, perhaps one and a few days with more then one. For me, it's not about action at all, but having a play I am comfortable with and seeing an edge. I have found that in the end, your number of wins increases while your losses decrease making your net profit greater and your lost juice smaller. Agree there is less stress involved but you must maintain your discipline because one day of chasing or going on tilt can wipe out all your hard earned profitable selections.

As for the 60%, it is good to set goals in my opinion, whether achieved or not. Without them, we just drift and don't work toward an end result. 60% is difficult, but achievable over a certain period of time. That being said, however, over the long haul, meaning years ahead, if you can hit 55% or better in totality, you would have achieved tremendous success that few have achieved. As always, best of luck in your quest.

SSI · Dec 22, 2005

Insiders, thx and merry christmas to you as well... Hopefully navy cashes in on those long drives and col st can pass on the navy defense.. I hope this one is played in the 30's by both sides..

sureguy, what helps me is the ability to quickly eliminate games... i spend about an hour each day now capping.. I am sticking mainly with football and college hoops, so ive basically eliminated the nba and nhl until playoffs start for them... Usually boils down to a handful of games that i must choose from.. Look at tonight, i have to sit and wait until 9:30 cst for my play to start.. takes a little discipline to not play on something early..

i proved something to myself last saturday however, i won on the Texas/Tenn over (cbb) last saturday.. This was an early game and i didnt bet the rest of the day.. I sat on my 1-0 record for the day.. it was tough not to play anything else that day however........ On saturday and sunday, i try and play an early game and if it wins,,, then my day is over ------because i would need to hit the next 2 plays and be 3-0 to better myself. because 1-0 is better than 2-1...

so far the results have been good..

week 1: 6-1 (had a great start)
week 2: 5-5 (back to reality but was 5-4 and lost mon night)
week 3: 5-3 (had a 5-0 streak and 0-3 streak last week)

week 4: 1-1 (currently on this)

running week from tues thru mon for now..

SALTHEITAL · Dec 22, 2005

Yo Insiders ...

Insiders said:
I know a guy that does exactly that.

So do I ... :103631605

Sal

SSI · Dec 22, 2005

thx Ted, as you know we have had many discussions on the subject of discipline... this strategy is a good remedy for chasing and i think it was important for me to have a nice start (which fortunately i did).... i also am trying to look at the overall record of this (17-10) and not my 1-1 week, that i have going or the fact that i am only 11-9 since my 6-1 start.. I am focusing on the 17-10 mark and trying to keep that over 60%... had a goal set of trying to be 20-10 and it looked like i would hit this easy, when i was 16-6 but since have went 1-4 and now i need a 3-0 run to get there..

BarneyFife · Dec 22, 2005

Good Luck man.

Moon88 · Dec 22, 2005

SSI believe it or not I actually got cut off (local) week 14 last NFL season for spot playing in foots going 16-9 playing all dogs placing my first 1st wager in week 5. I was told they wanted more action in terms of games.....ok so now I suppose to play games that I don't like? Bottom line is the more action you place the more the books love it.

I'm thinking much of it probably had to do with me coming in at week 5, playing all dogs and most important winning because if I was losing......

oldmanTED · Dec 22, 2005

SSI said:
thx Ted, as you know we have had many discussions on the subject of discipline... this strategy is a good remedy for chasing and i think it was important for me to have a nice start (which fortunately i did).... i also am trying to look at the overall record of this (17-10) and not my 1-1 week, that i have going or the fact that i am only 11-9 since my 6-1 start.. I am focusing on the 17-10 mark and trying to keep that over 60%... had a goal set of trying to be 20-10 and it looked like i would hit this easy, when i was 16-6 but since have went 1-4 and now i need a 3-0 run to get there..

Try not to focus too much on the goal and/or intermediate runs as you will have winning streaks, losing streaks and simple up and down stretches. Just maintain your focus on the daily handicapping as much as possible and the wins and losses will take care of themselves. If you focus too much on any run you are on, it will only add more pressure to each day's handicapping. Give yourself breaks once in awhile just to remain fresh. Don't concern yourself with missing a possible play. Rest is important for the long haul.

Hitman26 · Dec 22, 2005

If you can pick 60% winners then everytime you wager 500$ on a game, you would have a postive expectation of around 80 bucks a game. Multiply that times 10 plays per week and that 800 bucks a week times 52 weeks a year, and that is about 41,600$ for the year. That's a lot of extra walking around cash.

Iceman · Dec 22, 2005

SSI,
What % of br are you playing per play. Are you doing more than 2%?

SSI · Dec 22, 2005

iceman (2.5%)

Ted, i know what your saying and i am trying to just look at my overall record and not the week to week runs but i still look at and am aware of the runs (hard not to be)...